Former US President Donald Trump points at the end of a rally in Valdosta, Georgia, US, December 5, 2020. Photo: VCG
The U.S. partisan fight between Democrats and Republicans escalated further after Donald Trump’s Florida resident Mar-a-Lago was raided by the FBI on Monday local time as part of an investigation to determine whether the former president “took classified files from the White House” during his tenure. Chinese experts and netizens are also paying close attention to the case, with analysts saying the US democratic system may be more dysfunctional and the chaos like the Capitol Hill incident in 2021 will likely repeat itself with the upcoming midterm elections as well as the next presidential election in 2024.
Democrats face a bleak electoral prospect, with US President Joe Biden failing to address economic issues at home and grappling with a diplomatic issue abroad sparked by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s provocative visit to the island of Taiwan. The international community watches with despair and confusion the troubled policies of the United States. Many pundits believe the Democrats are likely to lose big in the midterm elections this year and the 2024 presidential election despite the ongoing investigation against Trump. Republicans, experts say, will exact revenge once they regain political power, and Biden’s son, Hunter Biden, may be the likeliest target.
US media also shared similar concerns. The AP said the FBI’s investigation of Trump “represents a dramatic and unprecedented escalation in law enforcement’s scrutiny of the former president.”
Trump confirmed that FBI agents were at Mar-a-Lago and said “they even broke into my safe.” The former president was at Trump Tower in New York when the search warrant was executed in Florida, a person familiar with the matter told CNN. “My beautiful home, Mar-A-Lago in Palm Beach, Florida, is currently besieged, raided and occupied by a large group of FBI agents,” Trump said in a statement late Monday.
The extraordinary decision to search the home of a former president raises the stakes for the Justice Department and comes as Trump’s legal troubles continue on multiple fronts. Trump is also expected to announce in the coming months that he will launch another bid for US president in 2024, CNN reported.
Lü Xiang, an expert in American studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, told the Global Times that “this case is a bit surprising for the Democrats’ campaign. Previously, the Democrats targeted Trump in mainly two cases – the investigation of the assault on Capitol Hill by Trump supporters in January 2021, and the investigation into the tax and loan problems of Trump and his family members by New York State, but both of these efforts have seen progress limited, Lü said.
According to the relevant United States law on official or judicial records and reports, “Whoever, having custody of any such record, proceeding, map, book, document, paper, or anything else, conceals, deletes, mutilates, erases, tampers with, or destroys it, shall be liable to a fine under this title or to imprisonment for a term not exceeding three years, or both; and shall lose office and be disqualified for holding office in the United States. United. “
So the latest ruling is a new threat to Trump, but how much the inquiry’s outcome will impact Republicans remains a question, analysts said, noting it’s a classic tactic for serve the party’s electoral purpose, and so does the Hillary Clinton email scandal. in the 2016 presidential election, Republicans have also used similar tactics to attack Democrats in the past, but once the election is over and one party wins, those investigations will be pushed back until further notice. at the next election.
A Beijing-based international relations expert who requested anonymity said it would further escalate the conflict between the two parties in the United States, saying the ruling party is still arming “judicial and law enforcement” authorities. laws” to suppress opposition with everything. they have, he said.
Americans will continue to have a dysfunctional country caused by endless partisan struggle, he said, adding that “As the political environment deteriorates, if US lawmakers are ever physically fighting on Capitol Hill, I wouldn’t be surprised.”
Deterioration of the political environment
High-profile politicians and former Republican Party officials expressed strong opposition to the Justice Department’s raid of Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence and threatened revenge against Democrats after they seized power in the future.
Kevin McCarthy, a Republican leader and Representative for California’s 23rd District in the House of Representatives, also accused the Justice Department on Twitter of reaching “an intolerable state of militarized politicization.” McCarthy further threatened Attorney General Garland that Republicans “will exercise immediate oversight of the department, follow the facts, and leave no stone unturned” when the Republican Party returns to the House.
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis said the FBI raid on Mar-a-Lago is “another escalation in the weaponization of federal agencies against the regime’s political opponents, while people like Hunter Biden are treated with gloves,” adding that the Biden administration has made the United States a “banana republic.”
Marco Rubio, a Republican senator from Florida, publicly denounced the raid on Twitter and criticized Biden for “playing with fire” by using a documentary dispute with Justice Department backing to persecute a potential future election opponent.
Mike Pompeo, a former secretary of state in the Trump administration, also criticized the FBI’s investigation of Trump. “I sat on Benghazi Com (United States House Select Committee investigating the 2012 bombing in Benghazi) where we proved that Hillary [Clinton] possessed classified information. We didn’t raid her house,” Pompeo tweeted.
Lü said most Republicans decided to ally themselves with Trump a long time ago because of the irreplaceable and unwavering political influence and high popularity Trump holds among conservative American voters, adding that they will make their best to express their support for the former president and criticize the Biden. the administration and the Democrats.
“Democrats, especially Biden, need to be aware that they’re not clean, and it’s a safe bet that Republicans will take control of the House after the midterm elections, so Biden will have a second half of tough tenure, and he also needs to take the risk of revenge on Republicans.”
Shen Yi, a professor at Fudan University’s School of International Relations and Public Affairs, told the Global Times on Tuesday that “such an investigation against a former president in the United States is unusual, but to what extent is the The investigation was politically motivated requires further observation as the outcome of the investigation is not yet clear.”
If the investigation finds Trump not guilty, the former president will certainly make the best use of it to boost his “positive image” with his supporters and try to make more neutral or hesitant voters believe that he has been targeted and prosecuted by Democrats for political reasons, Shen noted.
If the investigation finds Trump guilty, he will surely appeal and take the case to the Supreme Court, where Trump and Republicans may have more supporters than Democrats as Trump has nominated three Supreme Court Justices, analysts said, noting that one thing is certain – the dysfunctional US political system is getting worse, and massive conflicts like the chaos on Capitol Hill in 2021 are likely to happen again.
Zhu Haoning also contributed to the story