A political stability guardrail is about to be tested

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One of the two ultimate safeguards of American political stability is about to be tested. The burning question now is whether Democrats will use the Justice Department to try to defeat Donald Trump’s resurgent force with politically motivated indictments.

It was almost certainly the inspiration for the stupid and outrageous intrusion into the former president’s house in Palm Beach. The controversy over this caper allowed President Joe Biden to cut his margin of disapproval by about half to a deficit of just 10%. But Trump scored a tactical success by referring the matter to a special master, who quieted it down until the election. Last week, a former U.S. prosecutor told MSNBC that she expected Trump to be indicted for his attempt to persuade then-Vice President Mike Pence not to certify Electoral College results presented by some of the disputed jurisdictions.

Any dispute is a game of craps; US federal prosecutors win 98% of their cases, 95% of those without a trial, because of the immense practical advantages they have through the plea bargaining system over even a very well-founded defense. And in any jury trial in the District of Columbia, simply being a Republican is effectively a criminal offense, as Democrats routinely win more than 90% of the vote in DC in presidential elections. Disgraced FBI Director James Comey chose to ignore Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton’s destruction of 33,000 subpoenaed emails ahead of the 2016 election – a violation of law that may well be more serious than anything that could remotely be evoked by Trump’s conduct.

But this argument that Trump criminally mishandled the documents he took with him when he left as president is false, as is the absurdity that Trump himself committed offenses on January 6, 2021. .up to cheerleader for a slam-dunk legal victory if they just indict the ex-president. It’s superimposed on the legal background, and it would break one of the guardrails of the American political system, that prominent politicians and especially former presidents not be subjected to frivolous and vexatious, motivational indictments. Politics.

Such a move would now be the ultimate criminalization of electoral politics and would sound the alarm that the entire constitutional system is in grave danger. The supreme crisis of the post-Reagan bipartisan and political establishment is almost at hand.

The other ultimate safeguard of political stability is that the judiciary will not agree to overturn the apparent result of a presidential election. This was demonstrated in the Bush-Gore election of 2000, and again in 2020, when courts at all levels refused to consider the merits of constitutional arguments in 19 lawsuits involving voting and voting changes. vote counts conducted in swing states and allegedly contrary to the constitutional assignment of the duty of fair presidential elections to state legislatures and that in some states such elections were not fair. (These costumes are not to be compared to the wild goose hunts of Rudolph Giuliani and Sidney Powell.)

The bipartisan post-Reagan political establishment’s greatest nightmare is back. The Bushes, the Clintons, the Obamas, the Bidens, the Romneys and Republican Senate Leader Mitch McConnell all thought they had seen the last of their Trump nightmare after the 2020 election and took comfort in the fact that the ogre couldn’t come back. Anti-Trump commentators chastised Republican lawmakers for being too afraid of Trump voters – they had convinced themselves that Trump had become a melting electoral iceberg.

When Trump-backed candidates have won nearly every Republican primaries, the thought that Trump might be more than a bizarre, evanescent apparition made them jump out of their complacent torpor.

Trump’s support is not so fragile, and the onslaught of Washington’s “swamp” is not a passing dislike. He, almost alone, saw in 2016 the proportions of the disillusionment and anger of the bottom half of American workers, and he exploited this anger by sweeping almost all the Republican primaries in all regions of the country, and by picking up a stunning upset victory. in the general elections.

He tore the Republican Party from the proverbial country clubs and placed it like a big hen above the traditional Democratic strongholds of Hispanics and African Americans and generally disadvantaged voters, and made huge inroads in these areas by applying vintage capitalism to poor neighborhoods. — by encouraging investment there and reducing taxes.

Despite Trump’s 2-to-1 overspending and often rabid 95% support from the national political media, Democrats have had to resort to sweeping changes to voting and vote-counting rules – potentially millions of ballots allegedly polled could’t be verified as genuine, and a change of less than 50,000 votes in three states would have flipped the Electoral College to Trump.

The almost totalitarian effort to eradicate any questions about the 2020 result has failed. “Election deniers” make up about half the country, and their numbers will increase when a Republican House of Representatives lifts the rock on some of the Democratic shenanigans. That will be the credit for the Durham report — it was a failure on legal retaliation, but it will be a horrific embarrassment for Democrats.

The most insightful analysis of these issues in recent days has come from JR Dunn, writing in the American Thinker on October 5. to stage the biggest bloodless American assassination since Watergate.

He cited a series of events showing the brutal lawlessness of Trump’s frightened enemies: the raid on the former president’s home, the doubling in size of the IRS and its recruitment of gunmen. “ready to use lethal force,” and Biden’s absurdly histrionic speech at Independence Hall in Philadelphia, just yards from where Benjamin Franklin reportedly declared at the end of the 1788 Constitutional Convention that Americans would have “a Republic, if you can keep it”.

He also noted that Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’ reaction to the former president’s home invasion was inadequate. He could have ordered the state police not to cooperate with the FBI raid, and instead of condemning it, he blandly insinuated that it was excessive.

For anyone who thinks that the OBushinton era and the horrible revival of it have failed and must be replaced by an administration that will uproot the establishment from Washington like Andrew Jackson did in 1829, and reorient the country in all major policy areas, Donald Trump is the only candidate.

He alone will cut taxes, close the border, end sanctuary cities, eliminate unemployment through investment and tax incentives, and redefine legitimate national interests around the world in line with allies paid and supported by heavily armed forces. motivated with a non-corps of senior political officers and armed to the teeth with the most effective weapons in the world.

If the Trump-backed Senate candidates win two from Georgia, Ohio and Pennsylvania in three weeks, Trump is the almost certain Republican nominee. And a malicious and unfair indictment will ultimately secure his election as president. Not even the irresponsible, over-armed US prosecution will get away with what the desperate Democrats are planning.

The opinions expressed in this article are the opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of The Epoch Times.

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Conrad Black has been one of Canada’s most prominent financiers for 40 years and one of the world’s leading newspaper publishers. He is the author of authoritative biographies of Franklin D. Roosevelt and Richard Nixon, and most recently “Donald J. Trump: A President Like No Other,” which has been republished in updated form. Follow Conrad Black with Bill Bennett and Victor Davis Hanson on their Scholars and Sense podcast.

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